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Using judgment to make forecasts, impose control and decide whether something has happened

Professor Nigel Harvey

 
When?
Tuesday 12 February 2013, 16.00 to 17.00
Where?
01AC02
Open to:
Staff, Students, Public
Speaker:
Professor Nigel Harvey
In many situations, people have to react to streams of data that arrive over time. I shall discuss work on three sorts of task that they have to perform on these data: making forecasts from knowledge of the past; controlling the data stream to ensure it is brought within and stays within acceptable bounds; and making decisions about whether there has been a change in the way the data are produced.  In each case, I’ll talk about how good their performance is, what variables influence it, and what we know about the cognitive processes that underlie it.

Professor Nigel Harvey
University College London

Nigel Harvey is a Professor of Judgment and Decision Research at University College London and Visiting Fellow in the Department of Statistics at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He has been President of the European Association for Decision Making and was Treasurer of the Experimental Psychology Society for many years. He is currently an Associate Editor of the International Journal of Forecasting and on the editorial boards of the Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes and the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. He co-edited the ‘Blackwell Handbook of Judgment & Decision Making’ (2004). He is interested in how people make judgments and decisions and, more particularly, in their use of judgment to forecast and control the behavior of systems. His current research includes experiments on detecting regime change in time series, on advice-taking and on trust in advisors.

Date:
Tuesday 12 February 2013
Time:

16.00 to 17.00


Where?
01AC02
Open to:
Staff, Students, Public
Speaker:
Professor Nigel Harvey