press release
Published: 11 August 2026

Commentary: Are interest-rate cuts always good news?

The following expert comment below was written by Professor Jon Williams, Professor of Banking and Finance at the University of Surrey, on the less obvious risks created by interest-rate changes, and why both higher and lower rates can encourage riskier financial behaviour.

Professor Jon Williams

“Interest-rate changes cannot please everyone, but importantly, neither higher nor lower rates are without risk.

"When rates rise, higher borrowing costs create a resource-allocation challenge for households and businesses. Companies facing increased repayments and operating costs may look for additional revenue to cover them, potentially encouraging greater risk-taking. This can increase the probability of defaults and corporate failures, with subsequent effects on investment, output and employment.

"Lower rates present a different problem. Cheaper borrowing can stimulate economic activity, but lower returns on savings can make deposits less attractive and encourage investors to look elsewhere for better returns. That search for yield can push money towards riskier investments, potentially creating new vulnerabilities for financial stability.

"Lower rates can also make the UK less attractive to overseas investors, while banks must continually adjust to changes in the rates at which they borrow and lend.

"For financial institutions, managing these competing effects is a major part of interest-rate risk management. Banks have to anticipate how rates across financial markets will move and manage their exposure accordingly.

"Interest rates attract enormous attention, but their impact is not an exact science. Moving them in either direction changes incentives throughout the financial system, sometimes producing consequences that policymakers, businesses and investors did not anticipate.”

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