The Science and Art of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) Modelling (Foundation)

Key information

Start date: 07 September 2020

Attendance dates:

September 2020: 07, 08, 09, 10, 11, 12

Time commitment: 6 days

Venue:

Distance learning

Contact details:

Overview

We have decided to have a virtual Summer School (online) this year. This decision has been made to ensure the safety of our participants, our colleagues and all those involved with the Summer School.

This course will be conducted through the Zoom platform. The University and the lecturers are used to doing online teaching and have state-of-the-art systems to do so. We will limit the number of participants on the course and have additional lecturers per room to ensure a highly interactive experience. Though we will do our best to record all the sessions, we are expecting participants to attend them live to enable you to interact with lecturers and ask questions. We will continue to have coffee breaks to allow for networking.

This course provides instructions on the construction and estimation of DSGE models for emerging open economies and their use for policy analysis. It is Dynare-based and is aimed at PhD students, postgraduate students aiming to proceed to a PhD, early researchers and research staff from central banks, ministries and the private sector.

Participants should have some prior experience with macroeconomic models and dynamic optimisation, and a basic knowledge of Matlab. No prior knowledge of Dynare is necessary.

It will cover the theoretical aspects of the techniques, in addition, it is very hands-on and you will have carefully implemented exercises where you need to modify parts of the codes. This will be done in the lectures, both in groups and with the help of the instructors. You'll receive solutions to all exercises and will be provided with computer codes that you may then use in your own research.

Software

Please note that all participants are required to have their own copy of Matlab since you will be using your own computers. You can download a 30-day free trial of the software beforehand.

Course content

The course will explore the basics of Dynare programming, the construction of Bayesian estimation of DSGE macroeconomic models in Dynare, and their use for optimal policy analysis. You will cover the underlying theory proceeding in steps from the real-business cycle theory (RBC) model through to a medium-sized New Keynesian (NK) model.

  • Dynare basics
  • RBC model
  • Calibration and use of an external steady state
  • Linearisation.
  • NK model
  • Stability-indeterminacy
  • Introduction to the global sensitivity analysis toolbox in Dynare.
  • Preparing the data including use of various filters
  • An introduction to Bayesian methodology
  • Identification and pre-estimation checks
  • Direct linear estimation of the non-linear NK model.
  • Model comparisons by likelihood races
  • Comparison of second moments of model with data
  • Optimal monetary policy for linear-quadratic problems:
    • The Ramsey problem
    • Optimal time-consistent policy
    • Optimised simple rules.

On the final day of the course, we will hold an optional conference. The two keynote speakers are Professor Morten Ravn (UCL) and Professor Kjetil Storesletten (University of Oslo).

You are invited to submit a paper on some aspect of DSGE modelling. We will select five or six papers to be presented in full with discussants. The deadline for paper submission will be 3 August. Notification of acceptance to present a paper in full or in the poster session will be communicated by 10 August.

Learning and teaching methods

You will be sent computer codes, lecture notes, and slides ahead of the course and will also receive direct assistance before the Summer School starts in order to set up all the systems ahead of the online events.

There will be opportunities to discuss your projects and research ideas. This will occur both informally during the virtual coffee breaks and virtual dinners, as well as formally during the conference. After the Summer School, lecturers will be available to answer questions and discuss your projects.

Entry requirements

Applicants must have:

  • A background in macroeconomics with some knowledge of macro-modelling and dynamic optimisation.
  • A basic knowledge of Matlab programming (see an overview of the Matlab features our participants are expected to know).
  • A working knowledge of English.
  • A basic knowledge of the RBC and NK Model.

Fees and funding

Price per person:

£1,225 (down from £1,650)

Non-academic participants

£900 (down from £1,200)

Academics

£475 (down from £700)

Students

What these fees include

The price includes the one day course on day five and the optional conference on day six.

Concessions

The following concessions are available:

  • 10% discount for participants who register by July 15
  • 10% discount for participants who have attended a previous course with the Centre for International Macroeconomic Studies
  • 20% discount for participants from institutions in developing countries.

Multiple discounts are not applicable.

How to apply

Deadline for applications is 17 August 2020, but we encourage you to apply as soon as possible as the places will be allocated using a rolling selection process.

If your application is successful, you will receive an email offering you a place and you will have two weeks to pay the full fees balance to secure this.

Apply now

Terms and conditions

When you accept an offer of a place at the University of Surrey, you are agreeing to comply with our policies and regulations and our terms and conditions. You are also confirming you have read and understood the University's prospective student privacy notice.

Further details of our terms and conditions will follow.

Disclaimer

This online prospectus has been prepared and published in advance of the commencement of the course. The University of Surrey has used its reasonable efforts to ensure that the information is accurate at the time of publishing, but changes (for example to course content or additional costs) may occur given the interval between publishing and commencement of the course. It is therefore very important to check this website for any updates before you apply for a course with us. Read more.