Professor Nickolaos Travlos
Professor Nickolaos Travlos joined the University of Surrey in September 2016 as Professor of Finance and Accounting. He has teaching and research interests in the areas of Corporate Finance, Financial Analysis, Financial Markets, Banking, and Mergers and Acquisitions. Prior to the University of Surrey he was at ALBA Graduate Business School (1992-2016) holding the Kitty Kyriacopoulos Chair in Finance and serving as its first Dean (1998-2016).
He has also taught at Boston College, City University of New York (Baruch College), New York University (L. Stern School of Business) and University of Piraeus (1990-1998), where he served as Chairman of the Department of Banking and Financial Management (1993-1997) and Director (founder) of the MSc in Banking and Financial Management (1997-1998). Moreover, he held the position of Distinguished Senior Research Fellow at Cardiff Business School (U.K.), 1998-2007.
Professor Travlos' research has been published in leading academic journals such as The Journal of Finance (10 papers); Journal of Accounting Research; Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis; Journal of Corporate Finance; Review of Finance; Financial Management; Journal of Financial Research, etc. His research findings have been cited widely in numerous international academic journals and text-books, while managerial implications of his work have appeared in the best relevant outlets. In 2008 Professor Travlos was recognized as one of the “most contributing” authors in the Journal of Finance (JF), “the gold standard in academic finance literature”, over its six decades of existence. In addition, his published article “Corporate Takeovers Bids, Methods of Payment and Bidding Firms' Stock Returns” (The Journal of Finance, 1987b) was included in 1994 in the list of the twenty most influential published papers in Finance. Other published papers have been voted as the best papers appeared in the associated journals. He has served on the editorial Board of several international academic journals and has served as President/Chairman of several international academic Associations and Conferences. His research agenda includes Mergers and Acquisitions, Executive Compensation, Corporate Governance, Corporate Control, Dividend Policy, Ownership Structure, International Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts, Capital Restructuring and Raising New Capital.
He is a finance consultant and has served on the Board of Directors of several national and international firms. He was a member of the Board of the Hellenic Capital Market Commission from 2004 until 2009 and of the Hellenic Competition Commission from 2009 to 2012. He served as Chairman of the Board of the Athens International Airport (2013-2015) and vice-chairman of the Board of International Transparency - Hellas (2013-2016).
Foundations of Finance and Investments (MANM097)
We extend the U.S. bank M&As literature by examining bidder announcement abnormal returns in deals involving both public and private targets over a 32-years examination period. Our main findings document the existence of a listing effect in our sample. Banks gain when they acquire private firms and lose when they acquire public firms. Gains in private offers are even higher when bidders employ financial advisors, whereas the opposite is true for public deals. We argue that this adverse advisor effect relates to the different levels of information asymmetry between public and private targets. Our results remain robust when we control for usual determinants of bidder abnormal returns, such as the method of payment, size, or relative size and when we control for sample selection and endogeneity problems.
This paper examines the relationship between asymmetric information and target firm returns in M&As. We argue that if managers possess favourable (unfavourable) asymmetric information, they will offer, ceteris paribus, a high (low) premium, affecting target firm returns accordingly. We propose several proxies of asymmetric information. The empirical evidence strongly supports our hypothesis as we find that target firm returns are significantly negatively related to asymmetric information regarding synergy gains. Our results are robust after controlling for several target and deal characteristics.
We use hand-collected board data around the issuance of two distinct government-led board structure mandates in the U.K. to establish the effect of outside directors on acquirer performance. Increases in outside director representation are associated with better acquirer returns in deals involving listed targets, but not when the target is private. These results are consistent with greater outside director reputational exposure when publicity is high. While we do not advocate mandated board structures, our evidence suggests that the particular diktats we examine were associated with improved acquirer performance in public firm takeovers. We present corroborating evidence from the U.S. around a similar reform period.
We contribute to the debate on whether stock-financed acquisitions destroy value for shareholders. A stock-financed acquisition is a joint takeover/equity-issue event. Using seasoned equity offering announcement returns, we estimate through linear prediction and propensity-score matching the share price drop that stock acquirers experience due to the financing choice. Net of this effect, stock-financed acquisitions are not value destructive, and the method of payment generally has no further explanatory power in the cross-section of acquirer returns. Our evidence is largely inconsistent with the agency costs of overvalued equity hypothesis.
We study whether formal enforcement actions, imposed on U.S. banks during 2000–2014 for serious financial safety and internal control problems, affect the probability that punished banks become targets of mergers and acquisitions (M&As). We find an increase in the probability of punished banks' acquisitions of at least 0.7%. A similar pattern is identified during both the financial crisis period of 2008–2009 and beyond the 2008–2009 period. Furthermore, these acquisitions improve the operating performance of post-acquisition combined entity, lending support to the hypothesis that punished banks' M&As serve as a means to replace inefficient management and restore the target banks' performance.
This study explores the impact of joint corporate asset restructuring decisions where firms sell an asset in order to fund a subsequent acquisition (selling-to-buy). We find that firms with asset sales are associated with increased acquisition probability. The effect is more pronounced for financially constrained firms. We also show that, in addition to the established improved firm efficiency from focus-increasing asset sales, financially constrained firms obtain the necessary funds to conduct focus-increasing acquisitions, improving further their efficiency. This translates into both higher long-run operating performance and stock abnormal returns at the asset sale announcement.
M&A deals create more value for acquiring firm shareholders post-2009 than ever before. Public acquisitions fuel positive and statistically significant abnormal returns for acquirers while stock-for-stock deals no longer destroy value. Mega deals, priced at least $500mil, typically associated with more pronounced agency problems, investor scrutiny and media attention, seem to be driving the documented upturn. Acquiring shareholders now gain $62 mil around the announcement of such deals; a $325 mil gain improvement compared to 1990-2009. The corresponding synergistic gains have also catapulted to more than $542 mil pointing to overall value creation from M&As on a large scale. Our results are robust to different measures and controls and appear to be linked with profound improvements in the quality of corporate governance among acquiring firms in the aftermath of the 2009 financial crisis.
This study shows that credit default swap (CDS) reference firms are more likely to conduct acquisitions. In economic terms, CDS reference firms have a 5% higher acquisition propensity than non-CDS firms. Additionally, CDS reference acquirers experience higher announcement returns. This is driven by CDS reference acquirers with high credit risk, who are also associated with a lower probability of default. The positive effect of CDS on acquisition outcomes is attributable to the empty creditor threat posed by CDS-protected creditors. Finally, consistent with CDS increasing debt capacity, cash is more likely to be used as the payment method.
Refereed Articles in Scholarly Journals
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with George Alexandridis, and Nick Antypas “Value Creation from M&As: New Evidence”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 2017 (forthcoming) doi:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2017.05.010
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Jay Dahya, Andrey Golubov, and Dimitris Petmezas “Governance Mandates, Outside Directors, and Acquirer Performance”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 2016 doi:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2016.11.005
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Andrey Golubov and D. Petmezas "Do Stock-Financed Acquisitions Destroy Value? New Methods and Evidence", Review of Finance 19 (6) (October 2015) doi:10.1093/rof/rfv009
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with N. Karampatsas and D. Petmezas, “Credit Ratings and the Choice of Payment Method in Mergers and Acquisitions”, Journal of Corporate Finance 25, 474-493, 2014 doi:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2014.01.008
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with E. Oltheten, T. Sougiannis, and S. Zarkos, “Greece in the Eurozone: Lessons from a decade of experience”, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, November 2013
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with G. Alexandridis, K. P. Fuller, and L. Terhaar, “Deal Size, acquisition premia and shareholder gains”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 2013
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with A. Golubov and D. Petmezas, “When it Pays to Pay Your Investment Banker: New Evidence on the Role of Financial Advisors in M&As”, The Journal of Finance, February 2012
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with E. Croci and D. Petmezas, “Asymmetric information and target firm returns”, The European Journal of Finance, Vol. 18, No. 7, August 2012
- G. Alexandridis with C. Mavrovitis, and Nickolaos G. Travlos “How have M&As changed? Evidence from the sixth merger wave”, The European Journal of Finance, 1-26, 2011
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with G. Alexandridis and D. Petmezas “Gains from M&As Around the World. New Evidence”, Financial Management, December 2010
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with G. Papaioannou and K.G. Viswanathan “Visibility Effects and Timing in Stock Listing Changes: Evidence from Operating Performance”, Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 49, 357 - 377, May 2009
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with George N. Leledakis, George J. Papaioannou, and Nickolaos V. Tsangarakis “Stock splits in a neutral transaction cost environment: Evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange”, Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 2009
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Philip J. Mcknight, T. Milonas and Charlie Weir “The Cadbury Code Reforms and Corporate Performance” Icfai University Journal of Corporate Governance, January 2009
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Nikolaos T. Milonas, Jason Zezhong Xiao and Cunkai Tan, “The Ex-Dividend Day Stock Price Behavior in the Chinese Stock Market”, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 14, 2006
- Nickolaos G. Travlos, with Vasilis Theoharakis and E. Oltheten, “Faculty Perceptions of Finance Journals: A Global View”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. March 2005
- Nickolaos G. Travlos, with P. Protopapas and G. Tsagarakis “Mergers and Acquisitions in Greece: Stock Price Reaction of Acquiring and Target Firms”, Spoudai, October-December 2003 (voted best paper for the year)
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with G. Papaioannou and K.G. Viswanathan, "The Operating Performance of Firms that Switch their Stock Listing", Journal of Financial Research, Vol. 26, Issue 4, Winter 2003
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with J. Doukas and M. Holmen, "Diversification, Ownership and Control of Swedish Corporations", European Financial Management, Vol. 8, Issue 3, September 2002
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with J. Dahya and J. McConnell, "The Cadbury Committee, Corporate Performance, and Top Management Turnover", The Journal of Finance, 57 (1), February 2002
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with L. Trigeorgis and N. Vafeas, “Shareholder Wealth Effects of Dividend Policy Changes in an Emerging Stock Market: The Case of Cyprus”, Multinational Finance Journal, June 2001, Vol. 5, Issue 2 (voted best paper for the year)
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with G. Papaioannou and N. Tsangarakis, "Valuation effects of Greek stock dividend distributions", European Financial Management, Vol. 6(4), December 2000
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with J. Dahya, "Does the One Man Show Pay? Theory and evidence on the Dual CEO Revisited", European Financial Management, Vol. 6(1), 2000
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with J. Barkoulas and K. Baum, "Long Memory in the Greek Stock Market", Journal of Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 10, 2000
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with J. Barkoulas, "Chaos in an Emerging Capital Market? The Case of the Athens Stock Exchange", Journal of Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 8, 1998
- "Sources of Gain from Domestic and International Acquisitions", Corporate Finance Review, Vol. 1, no 3, pp. 25-33, December 1996
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Gil Manzon and David Sharp, "An Empirical Study of the Consequences of US Tax Rules for International Acquisitions by US Firms", The Journal of Finance, December 1994
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Elizabeth Strock-Bagnani, Nikolaos Milonas and Anthony Saunders, "Managers, Owners and the Pricing of Risky Debt: An Empirical Analysis" , The Journal of Finance, June 1994
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Marcia Millon Cornett, "Going Private Buyouts and Determinants of Shareholders Returns", Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance, p. 1-3, 1993
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with George Papaioannou and Elizabeth Strock, "Ownership Structure and Corporate Liquidity Policy", Managerial and Decision Economics, Vol. 13, pp. 315-22, 1992
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Sinan Cebenoyan and George Papaioannou, "Foreign Takeover Activity in the US and Wealth Effects for Target Firm Shareholders", Financial Management, pp. 58-68, 1992
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with James Waegelein, "Executive Compensation, Management Ownership, Corporate Control and Abnormal Returns to Bidding Firms at Takeover Announcements", Managerial and Decision Economics, Vol. 13, pp. 493-501, 1992
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with George Papaioannou, "Corporate Acquisitions: Method of Payment Effects, Capital Structure Effects and Bidding Firms Stock Returns", Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics, pp. 3-22, Autumn 1991
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Yakov Amihud and Baruch Lev, "Corporate Control and the Choice of Investment Financing: The Case of Corporate Acquisitions" , The Journal of Finance, pp. 603-16, June 1990
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Anthony Saunders and Elizabeth Strock, "Ownership Structure, Deregulation and Bank Risk Taking" , The Journal of Finance, pp. 643-54, June 1990
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Marcia Millon Cornett, "Information Effects Associated with Debt-for-Equity and Equity-for-Debt Exchange Offers" , The Journal of Finance, pp. 451-468, June 1989
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with John Doukas, "The Effects of Corporate Multinationalism on Shareholders' Wealth: Evidence from International Acquisitions" , The Journal of Finance, pp. 1161-1175, December 1988
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Hassan Tehranian and James Waegelein, "The Effect of Long-term Performance Plans on Corporate Sell-Off-Induced Abnormal Returns" , The Journal of Finance, pp. 933-942, 1987
- "Corporate Takeover Bids, Method of Payment, and Bidding Firms' Stock Returns", The Journal of Finance, pp. 943-963, 1987
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Hassan Tehranian and James Waegelein, "Management Compensation Contracts and Merger-Induced Abnormal Returns", Journal of Accounting Research, pp. 51-76, 1987 (Supplement)
- Nickolaos G. Travlos with Marcia Millon Cornett, "An Examination of the Motivation for Leveraged Buyout Proposals" , Spoudai, pp. 177-202, January-June 1987