Mathematics of Life and Social Sciences seminars
These are the research seminars of Mathematics of Life and Social Sciences.
Seminar details
Day and time: Thursday's from 12 noon - 1pm.
Venue: 39 AA 04.
Open to: Staff and postgraduate research students.
For further information, please contact the organiser Dr Carina Dunlop.
Upcoming seminars
Speaker: Sylvain Delahaies (Surrey)
Time and date: 12 - 1pm on Thursday 7th February 2019
Title: Predictive policing: myth or reality?
Abstract:
Predictive policing aims at forecasting where and when crime will take
place in the future. While millions are currently invested in unproven
predictive softwares we focus on self-excited point processes which have
recently become popular to predict crime. We consider a police patrol
allocation experiment and investigate under what parameter regimes the
model might prove useful. Then we consider a novel Bayesian sequential
data assimilation algorithm for joint state-parameter estimation by
deriving an approximation Poisson Gamma Kalman filter. Finally we apply
the data assimilation scheme and police patrol experiment to real
Chicago crime data.